We said: Osasuna 1-1 Levante
Levante desperately need wins at this stage of the season, but they have only been victorious once on their travels in the league this term. Osasuna's home record is one of the worst in Spain's top flight in 2021-22, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Levante had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.