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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Levante logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 4
Levante

Garcia (18'), Guardiola (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-3)
Melero (26', 45+1'), Marti (44'), Coke (76')
Saracchi (55'), Postigo (75'), Vezo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Levante, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Levante

Despite Vallecano's awful finish to the season over the last few months, and Levante's revival in form, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors by a narrow margin here. Levante have picked up just 10 points from the 54 available to them on their travels this season, whilst eight of Vallecano's 11 league wins have arrived in front of their own supporters, so we are predicting a home win following an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Levante had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawLevante
44.53% (-1.892 -1.89) 24.65% (0.258 0.26) 30.82% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)45.52% (0.325 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.312 -0.31)67.85% (0.312 0.31)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.947 -0.95)20.53% (0.946 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-1.521 -1.52)53.04% (1.521 1.52)
Levante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.943 0.94)27.89% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (1.19 1.19)63.5% (-1.192 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 44.53%
    Levante 30.82%
    Draw 24.64%
Rayo VallecanoDrawLevante
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.302 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-4 @ 1% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Levante

Rayo Vallecano
72.1%
Draw
19.1%
Levante
8.7%
183
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Levante
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Marti (39' pen.)
Martinez (16'), Luis Morales (45+1'), Malsa (66')
Guardiola (90+2')
Ciss (43'), Comesana (45+4'), Garcia (54'), Balliu (82')
May 4, 2019 12pm
Levante
4-1
Rayo Vallecano
Campana (14'), Vezo (43'), Remeseiro (85'), Bardhi (90')
Campana (85')
Garcia (71')
Medran (58'), Suarez (68'), Embarba (78')
Embarba (82')
Dec 23, 2018 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Levante
Tono (23' og.), De Tomas (67')
Imbula (90'), Dimitrievski (90')
Rochina (60')
Postigo (58'), Rochina (80')
May 15, 2016 6.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Levante
Hernandez (12'), Sanchez (23'), Miku (73')
Amaya (59')
Verza (59' pen.)
Navarro (63'), Deyverson (82'), Verza (90')
Jan 9, 2016 9.05pm
Levante
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Deyverson (72'), Morales (81')
Feddal (34'), Simao (37'), Deyverson (72'), Verza (85'), Xumetra (93')
Hernandez (83')
Guerra (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid23155351222950
2Atletico MadridAtletico23147238152349
3Barcelona23153564253948
4Athletic Bilbao23128336201644
5Villarreal23117546341240
6Rayo Vallecano239862724335
7Real Sociedad2394102020031
8GironaGirona2394103133-231
9Osasuna2371062832-431
10Mallorca2394102029-931
11Real BetisBetis237882731-429
12Celta Vigo2384113437-328
13Sevilla237792534-928
14Getafe236981817127
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2365122838-1023
16Espanyol2365122235-1323
17Leganes2358101932-1323
18Valencia2357112437-1322
19AlavesAlaves2356122535-1021
20Real ValladolidValladolid2343161548-3315


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