Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
42.96% | 28.84% | 28.19% |
Both teams to score 43.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.29% | 62.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.75% | 82.25% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% | 28.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% | 64.86% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.13% | 38.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% | 75.59% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.17% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |