Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
50.6% | 27.16% | 22.24% |
Both teams to score 43.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.23% | 60.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.18% | 80.82% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% | 24.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% | 58.58% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.78% | 43.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.52% | 79.47% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 14.84% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 4.17% 4-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.28% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.04% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.01% Total : 22.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |