La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 15, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Granada

Lejeune (23'), de Frutos (80')
Lopez (31'), Espino (57'), Nteka (90+2'), Falcao (90+5')
Trejo (5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boye (89')
Corbeanu (42'), Callejon (83'), Neva (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 0-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Granada

Rayo may have failed to win any of their last three matches, but Wednesday's game represents a golden chance to return to winning ways. Granada have lost 14 of their 17 away La Liga games this season, and we think that they will fall to another defeat at Vallecas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Granada
60.74% ( 0.38)	22.68% ( -0.15)	16.58% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.6% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61% (

0.21)

51.39% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79% (

0.18)

73.21% (

-0.18)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

0.21)

16.51% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

0.37)

46.24% (

-0.36)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.81% (

-0.17)

44.19% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.72% (

-0.14)

80.28% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 60.73%

Granada 16.58%

Draw 22.68%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 60.73%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 16.58%