Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
68.7% ( -0.01) | 19.85% ( 0.02) | 11.45% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.08% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% ( -0.13) | 50.25% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( -0.11) | 72.2% ( 0.11) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( -0.04) | 13.58% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.3% ( -0.09) | 40.7% ( 0.08) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.7% ( -0.1) | 51.3% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.46% ( -0.07) | 85.54% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 68.7% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.85% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 11.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |