We said: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid
Sevilla's focus is currently on the Europa League final, and the home side will be resting some important players for this match. Real Madrid are also unlikely to be at full strength, so we can see a draw in this game, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.