La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 25, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
4 - 2
Real Madrid

Castellanos (12', 24', 46', 62')
Martinez (43')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Junior (34'), Vazquez (85')
Junior (37'), Militao (65')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Girona 1-2 Real Madrid

Girona's home form this season has been strong, winning eight of their 15 matches, but Real Madrid have the second-best away record in the division, claiming 31 points from 15 games. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that the reigning champions will navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Girona	Draw	Real Madrid
18.76% ( -0.08)	21.72% ( 0.03)	59.52% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.75% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

-0.23)

43.98% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

-0.23)

66.36% (

0.23)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.79% (

-0.22)

37.21% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01% (

-0.22)

73.99% (

0.22)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.6% (

-0.06)

14.4% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.7% (

-0.12)

42.3% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Girona 18.76%

Real Madrid 59.52%

Draw 21.72%

Girona	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.76%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.52%