Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
52.49% ( -0.57) | 24.41% ( 0.36) | 23.09% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( -1.26) | 50% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( -1.13) | 71.98% ( 1.13) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% ( -0.7) | 19.01% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.42% ( -1.17) | 50.57% ( 1.17) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( -0.5) | 36.29% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( -0.52) | 73.07% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |