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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Espanyol logo

Sevilla
3 - 2
Espanyol

Gil (22'), Ocampos (69' pen.), Gueye (88')
Gil (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rekik (29' og.), Puado (43')
Suarez (62'), Souza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Espanyol

All competitions
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, April 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol

 The visitors will be looking to take advantage of a Sevilla side that may have one eye on next week's Europa League clash with Juventus. However, Espanyol's backline has struggled in recent away games, and we think that their defensive vulnerability will help Sevilla claim a narrow home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawEspanyol
58.82% (0.67899999999999 0.68) 22.8% (-0.286 -0.29) 18.37% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.601 0.6)49.17% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.54 0.54)71.24% (-0.538 -0.54)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (0.449 0.45)16.39% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (0.803 0.8)46.03% (-0.8 -0.8)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)40.69% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.087 -0.09)77.28% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 58.82%
    Espanyol 18.37%
    Draw 22.8%
SevillaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.67% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 6% (-0.165 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 18.37%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Espanyol

Sevilla
81.5%
Draw
15.2%
Espanyol
3.3%
92
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 5
Espanyol
2-3
Sevilla
Joselu (45+4' pen.), Braithwaite (62')
Gil (13')
Lamela (1'), Angel Carmona (26', 45')
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
gameweek 25
Espanyol
1-1
Sevilla
Darder (50')
de Tomas (30'), Puado (76'), Bare (81'), Vidal (90')
Mir (36')
Augustinsson (44'), Corona (47'), Kounde (69'), Ocampos (85')
Kounde (76')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 7
Sevilla
2-0
Espanyol
En-Nesyri (13'), Mir (87')
Rakitic (56'), Delaney (65'), Lamela (81')
Delaney (65')
> Preview
Feb 16, 2020 11am
gameweek 24
Sevilla
2-2
Espanyol
Ocampos (15'), Suso (80')
Gomez (33'), J. (40'), Gudelj (58')
Embarba (35'), Lei (50')
Lei (38'), Sanchez (49'), Roca (84')
Sanchez (69')
Aug 18, 2019 6pm
gameweek 1
Espanyol
0-2
Sevilla

Sanchez (52'), Vargas (59')
Reguilon (44'), Nolito (86')
Reguilon (39'), Ocampos (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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