Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Espanyol |
58.82% (![]() | 22.8% (![]() | 18.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% (![]() | 49.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% (![]() | 71.24% (![]() |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% (![]() | 16.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% (![]() | 46.03% (![]() |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.31% (![]() | 40.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% (![]() | 77.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.06% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.82% | 1-1 @ 10.84% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 6% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |