Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
46.98% | 28.51% | 24.5% |
Both teams to score 41.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.54% | 63.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.2% | 82.8% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% | 27.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% | 62.63% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.45% | 42.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.09% | 78.91% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.07% 2-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.38% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.72% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.09% Total : 24.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |