Valencia

1 - 4

Barcelona

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.