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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Real Betis logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Betis

Pino (55')
Moreno (40'), Baena (63'), Torres (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iglesias (38')
Rodriguez (6'), Henrique (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 1-1 Villarreal
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Betis
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Real Betis

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as the two teams will be entering the contest off the back of European fixtures. There is not an awful lot between the two sides in terms of quality, and we are expecting a very close match, with the points ultimately being shared on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Betis
47.59% (0.38 0.38) 25.15% (-0.101 -0.1) 27.26% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.24 0.24)49.65% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.214 0.21)71.67% (-0.215 -0.22)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.26300000000001 0.26)20.89% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (0.41200000000001 0.41)53.59% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)32.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.102 -0.1)69.1% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 47.59%
    Real Betis 27.26%
    Draw 25.15%
VillarrealDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.26%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Betis

Villarreal
55.1%
Draw
21.7%
Real Betis
23.2%
69
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 8pm
Feb 6, 2022 5.30pm
Betis
0-2
Villarreal

Canales (85'), Iglesias (90+1')
Torres (41'), Capoue (83')
Chukwueze (25'), Moreno (37'), Capoue (71')
Oct 3, 2021 5.30pm
Villarreal
2-0
Betis
Danjuma (45+1', 69')
Capoue (56'), Torres (62')

Fekir (33'), Juanmi (40'), Gonzalez (72'), Rodriguez (81')
Feb 14, 2021 8pm
Villarreal
1-2
Betis
Moreno (65' pen.)
Parejo (43'), Foyth (55'), Pena (85')
Fekir (45'), Emerson (52')
Emerson (55'), Miranda (90+5')
Dec 13, 2020 3.15pm
Betis
1-1
Villarreal
Ruibal (51')
Iglesias (12'), Rodriguez (64')
Torres (5')
Nino (15'), Trigueros (17'), Pedraza (49')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
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Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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