La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 4, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
0 - 2
Villarreal

de la Hoz (14'), Chumi (55'), Suarez Charris (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moreno (76'), Luis Morales (88')
Foyth (56'), Albiol (67'), Moreno (80'), Lo Celso (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 1-1 Villarreal

Almeria's home form has been so impressive this season, but Villarreal will be determined to prove that they are over their recent run of disappointing results. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Villarreal
31.11% ( 0.39)	24.99% ( 0.32)	43.91% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

-1.26)

46.9% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

-1.19)

69.15% (

1.19)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

-0.37)

28.38% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

-0.46)

64.13% (

0.47)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-0.84)

21.38% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

-1.31)

54.37% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Almeria 31.11%

Villarreal 43.91%

Draw 24.99%

Almeria	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.91%