Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
29.23% ( -0.18) | 25.69% ( 0.01) | 45.08% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% ( -0.13) | 50.77% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.12) | 72.66% ( 0.12) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( -0.2) | 31.65% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.93% ( -0.23) | 68.07% ( 0.23) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( 0.03) | 22.48% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.97% ( 0.04) | 56.03% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.23% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |