La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal3 - 1Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, as Villarreal look to continue their push for the top four. There is no real pressure on Celta, which could work in the away team's favour on Sunday, but we are still expecting the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
56.19% ( -0.07) | 22.37% ( 0.07) | 21.43% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.83% ( -0.32) | 43.16% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.43% ( -0.31) | 65.56% ( 0.31) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( -0.13) | 15.19% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.18% ( -0.25) | 43.82% ( 0.25) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.18) | 34.02% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.29% ( -0.2) | 70.7% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 56.19%
Celta Vigo 21.43%
Draw 22.37%
| Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.43% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo
Villarreal
85.7%Draw
8.2%Celta Vigo
6.1%49
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Form Guide
