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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Gueye (6'), En-Nesyri (43'), Navas (63'), Telles (83'), Montiel (90+5')
Gueye (19'), Acuna (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Perez (13'), Cervi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Sevilla
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta have been a tough nut to crack in recent weeks, so we are finding it difficult to back them to lose this match. Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Cadiz, but they have been largely disappointing at home this term, so we have had to settle on a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
45.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 26.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.83% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (0.088999999999999 0.09)54.46% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.18% (0.072999999999997 0.07)75.82% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (0.057999999999993 0.06)23.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)57.94% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)34.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.035 0.04)71.33% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 45.66%
    Celta Vigo 27.89%
    Draw 26.44%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
Draw
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
55.1%
Draw
28.2%
Celta Vigo
16.7%
78
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
Apr 12, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-4
Sevilla
Aspas (20' pen., 23'), Mendez (43')
Aspas (10'), Mallo (50'), Mendez (74')
Kounde (7'), Fernando (35'), Rakitic (60'), Papu (76')
Kounde (19'), Carlos (58')
Nov 21, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
4-2
Celta Vigo
Kounde (5'), En-Nesyri (45+3'), Escudero (85'), El Haddadi (87')
Navas (2'), Escudero (73')
Aspas (10'), Nolito (36')
Suarez (54'), Mallo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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