La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Gueye (6'), En-Nesyri (43'), Navas (63'), Telles (83'), Montiel (90+5')
Gueye (19'), Acuna (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Perez (13'), Cervi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Sevilla
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta have been a tough nut to crack in recent weeks, so we are finding it difficult to back them to lose this match. Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Cadiz, but they have been largely disappointing at home this term, so we have had to settle on a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Celta Vigo
45.66% ( 0.04)	26.45% ( -0.02)	27.89% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54% (

0.09)

54.46% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.18% (

0.07)

75.82% (

-0.08)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21% (

0.06)

23.79% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05% (

0.09)

57.94% (

-0.09)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

0.03)

34.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.04)

71.33% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 45.66%

Celta Vigo 27.89%

Draw 26.44%

Sevilla	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.66%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.89%