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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Villarreal logo

Sevilla
2 - 1
Villarreal

Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Lamela (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (55')
Foyth (70'), Mandi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sevilla 2-2 Villarreal

Sevilla put so much into their contest with Man United that it is only natural to expect a drop-off in terms of their performance in this match. Villarreal will be confident of picking up a positive result on Sunday, and we are backing the points to be shared in an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
39.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 39.74%
    Villarreal 35.43%
    Draw 24.82%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.74%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.43%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal

Sevilla
Draw
Villarreal
Sevilla
53.1%
Draw
27.6%
Villarreal
19.4%
98
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Baena (51')
Torres (8')
Bono (26')
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-0
Sevilla
Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')
Dec 29, 2020 4pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
2-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (8' pen.), En-Nesyri (53')
Fernando (39')

Foyth (7'), Trigueros (76'), Parejo (88'), Bacca (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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