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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Almeria

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Almeria

Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Perez (45'), Aspas (82'), Veiga (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Puigmal (31'), Martinez (62'), Samu (74'), Baptistao (82'), Suarez Charris (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria

Almeria's away record this season is extremely poor, so it is difficult to back them on their travels. Celta's recent form has been excellent, meanwhile, and we are expecting the Sky Blues to pick up another three points, but it might be tight in terms of the scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
61.68% (-0.733 -0.73) 21.71% (0.42 0.42) 16.61% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.59% (-0.667 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-1.235 -1.24)47.41% (1.234 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-1.155 -1.16)69.62% (1.153 1.15)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.636 -0.64)14.84% (0.633 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-1.222 -1.22)43.16% (1.22 1.22)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (-0.347 -0.35)41.77% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.302 -0.3)78.23% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 61.67%
    Almeria 16.61%
    Draw 21.7%
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 61.67%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.225 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.61%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Almeria

Celta Vigo
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Embarba (22')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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