La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 2, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Almeria

Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Perez (45'), Aspas (82'), Veiga (83')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Puigmal (31'), Martinez (62'), Samu (74'), Baptistao (82'), Suarez Charris (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria

Almeria's away record this season is extremely poor, so it is difficult to back them on their travels. Celta's recent form has been excellent, meanwhile, and we are expecting the Sky Blues to pick up another three points, but it might be tight in terms of the scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Almeria
61.68% ( -0.73)	21.71% ( 0.42)	16.61% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

-1.24)

47.41% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

-1.16)

69.62% (

1.15)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.64)

14.84% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.84% (

-1.22)

43.16% (

1.22)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.23% (

-0.35)

41.77% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

-0.3)

78.23% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 61.67%

Almeria 16.61%

Draw 21.7%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.67%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.61%