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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Almeria

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Almeria

Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Perez (45'), Aspas (82'), Veiga (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Puigmal (31'), Martinez (62'), Samu (74'), Baptistao (82'), Suarez Charris (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria

Almeria's away record this season is extremely poor, so it is difficult to back them on their travels. Celta's recent form has been excellent, meanwhile, and we are expecting the Sky Blues to pick up another three points, but it might be tight in terms of the scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
61.68% (-0.733 -0.73) 21.71% (0.42 0.42) 16.61% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.59% (-0.667 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-1.235 -1.24)47.41% (1.234 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-1.155 -1.16)69.62% (1.153 1.15)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.636 -0.64)14.84% (0.633 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-1.222 -1.22)43.16% (1.22 1.22)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (-0.347 -0.35)41.77% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.302 -0.3)78.23% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 61.67%
    Almeria 16.61%
    Draw 21.7%
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 61.67%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.225 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.61%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Almeria

Celta Vigo
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Embarba (22')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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