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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Osauna logo

Villarreal
2 - 0
Osasuna

Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Albiol (66'), Trigueros (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brasanac (27'), Herrera (49'), Cruz (61'), Kike (66'), Garcia (72'), Oroz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Valencia
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna

Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two sides on Monday night, and we are expecting it to be a very close match. Villarreal are due a victory in the league, though, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to a narrow win in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
70.08% (0.714 0.71) 18.59% (-0.058 -0.06) 11.32% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.933 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (-1.433 -1.43)45.35% (1.431 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-1.385 -1.39)67.69% (1.384 1.38)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.214 -0.21)11.73% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12% (-0.46 -0.46)36.88% (0.457 0.46)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56% (-2.063 -2.06)48.44% (2.061 2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45% (-1.539 -1.54)83.55% (1.539 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 70.06%
    Osasuna 11.32%
    Draw 18.59%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.57 0.57)
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.63 0.63)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.205 -0.21)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 70.06%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.59%
0-1 @ 4.12% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.32%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal
73.9%
Draw
17.8%
Osasuna
8.3%
241
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
Apr 11, 2021 1pm
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Villarreal
Torres (70' pen.)
Sanjurjo (40'), Garcia (79')
Hernandez (19')
Moreno (7', 86'), Nino (29')
Pino (69'), Moreno (83')
Feb 2, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
Alcacer (45'), Pena (54'), Cazorla (59' pen.)
Cazorla (67'), Zambo Anguissa (90'), Nino (90')
Hernandez (48')
Estupinan (3'), Hernandez (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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