La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
4 - 0
Elche

Moreno (26'), Lo Celso (36'), Coquelin (89'), Luis Morales (90+4')
Jackson (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guti (43'), Milla (59'), Roco (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletic Bilbao	3	5	7
5	Villarreal	3	5	7
6	Atletico Madrid	4	2	7

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Espanyol	3	-4	1
16	Elche	3	-4	1
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1

Villarreal will be bidding to return to winning ways after dropping points against Getafe, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to triumph here. Elche are capable of making it a tough game, but the visitors could fall just short at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Elche
73.07% ( 0.6)	17.34% ( -0.26)	9.59% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 43.36% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.27% (

0.16)

44.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

0.15)

67.1% (

-0.15)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23% (

0.2)

10.77% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.24% (

0.44)

34.76% (

-0.45)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.59% (

-0.59)

51.41% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.38% (

-0.4)

85.62% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 73.06%

Elche 9.59%

Draw 17.34%

Villarreal	Draw	Elche
2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.06%	1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 17.34%	0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.59%