Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
30.07% | 26.22% | 43.71% |
Both teams to score 51.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% | 74.19% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% | 23.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% | 58.09% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.07% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |