Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
37.18% | 27.34% | 35.48% |
Both teams to score 49.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.26% | 55.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.12% | 76.88% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% | 28.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% | 64.77% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% | 29.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% | 66.05% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |