Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.