Derry
1 - 0
Dundalk

McGonigle (50' pen.)
(67'), (81'), (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

(28'), Jurkovskis (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Dundalk
30.53%	25.37%	44.1%

Both teams to score 54.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18%

48.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08%

70.91%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26%

29.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2%

65.8%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9%

22.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53%

55.46%

Score Analysis

Derry City 30.53%

Dundalk 44.1%

Draw 25.37%

Derry City	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.53%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.1%