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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jul 31, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
 
Derry City

Longford Town
0 - 2
Derry


Dervin (24'), McNally (28'), O'Driscoll (71'), (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lafferty (31'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (82')
Thomson (22'), Lafferty (36')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Longford Town and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Longford TownDrawDerry City
28.77%27.63%43.6%
Both teams to score 46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59%58.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99%79.01%
Longford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18%72.81%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41%26.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.81%
Score Analysis
    Longford Town 28.77%
    Derry City 43.59%
    Draw 27.63%
Longford TownDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.69%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 8.41%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.59%

Head to Head
May 7, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derry
1-1
Longford Town
Akintunde (90+3')
Patching (55')
Manley (75')
Bolger (81')
Mar 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 1
Longford Town
2-0
Derry
Grimes (8'), Gorman (72')
Niall Thompson (81'), Dervin (90+4')

Patching (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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