MX23RW : Monday, December 23 13:49:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 10
Apr 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
2 - 2
Derry

Benson (71'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Ward (69'), Yli-Kokko (80')
Wasiri Williams (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doherty (44'), Kavanagh (79')
Duffy (82')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Dundalk
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 0-1 Bohemians
Monday, April 10 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
29.21% (0.738 0.74) 26.7% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 44.09% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.641 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (0.617 0.62)54.78% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.509 0.51)76.09% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.895 0.89)33.76% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.959 0.96)70.42% (-0.958 -0.96)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)24.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)59.24% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 29.21%
    Derry City 44.09%
    Draw 26.7%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.88% (0.158 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 11.66% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.09%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Derry
0-0
Dundalk

Boyce (36')

Sloggett (54'), Muller (90')
Nov 6, 2022 7pm
Derry
0-1
Dundalk

Diallo (19')
Ward (9')
Aug 5, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
1-1
Derry
Hoban (90+3')
Sloggett (78')
Akintunde (12')
Glass (8'), McEleney (45+3'), Maher (65'), Dummigan (68')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
1-2
Dundalk
Akintunde (75')
Smith (27')
Benson (10'), Hoban (81')
(45'), Shepperd (67'), (73'), Leahy (74'), Benson (77')
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-2
Derry
Bradley (31'), Connolly (72')
Connolly (24'), Bradley (24'), Bone (89')
Thomson (40'), McGonigle (80')
Thomson (24')
rhs 2.0
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