League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk1 - 1Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Dundalk | 24 | 19 | 45 |
3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dundalk | 24 | 19 | 45 |
3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
58.44% ( -0.23) | 23.4% ( 0.01) | 18.16% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% ( 0.26) | 51.85% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% ( 0.22) | 73.61% ( -0.22) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% ( 0.01) | 17.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% ( 0.02) | 47.96% ( -0.02) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.48% ( 0.41) | 42.52% ( -0.41) |