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Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
2 - 2
Derry

Bradley (31'), Connolly (72')
Connolly (24'), Bradley (24'), Bone (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomson (40'), McGonigle (80')
Thomson (24')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
44.95%26.15%28.9%
Both teams to score 51.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2%52.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57%74.42%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59%23.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6%57.4%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04%32.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46%69.54%
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 44.95%
    Derry City 28.9%
    Draw 26.15%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.9%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Dundalk
1-2
Derry
Murray (33')
Murray (21'), Cleary (64')
Harkin (45+1'), McGonigle (52')
Lafferty (63')
Aug 15, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
1-0
Dundalk
McGonigle (50' pen.)
(67'), (81'), (86')

(28'), Jurkovskis (35')
Jun 25, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Dundalk
2-1
Derry
Kelly (36'), Hoban (56' pen.)
Leahy (51'), McEleney (80')
Toal (60')
Malone (41'), Lafferty (44'), Cole (56'), Thomson (80')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Derry
1-1
Dundalk
McJannett (61')
(2'), Parkhouse (49'), Malone (90+1')
McMillan (53')
Boyle (26'), Cleary (38'), Shields (73')
Oct 19, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derry
1-2
Dundalk
Cole (18')
Clifford (70'), Toal (88')
Murray (7'), Flores (15')
Shields (86')
rhs 2.0
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