We said: Galway United 1-1 Dundalk
There has not been a draw in the last seven top-flight meetings between these two sides, and Galway United will enter the match in the better form, but they have only won two of their eight league matches at home this season, and we are backing the points to be shared on Friday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.