Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 73.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.32%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.