Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
51.37% (![]() | 22.49% (![]() | 26.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% (![]() | 38.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% (![]() | 60.97% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% (![]() | 15.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.1% (![]() | 43.89% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% (![]() | 27.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% (![]() | 63.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 10.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |