Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MC Alger win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for TP Mazembe had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a MC Alger win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.85%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.63%), while for a TP Mazembe win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MC Alger in this match.