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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
AC Ajaccio

Bastia
4 - 0
Ajaccio

Ducrocq (19' pen.), Tomi (23'), Cisse (40'), Tramoni (68')
Ducrocq (20'), Ble (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (16'), Chegra (37')
Junior Pereira da Silva (42')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grenoble 3-2 Bastia
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-2 Annecy
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
60.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 23.9% (0.023 0.02) 15.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)57.33% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)78.16% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)18.74% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)50.13% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.93% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)49.06% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)84% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 60.5%
    Ajaccio 15.6%
    Draw 23.89%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 15.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.96%
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.6%

How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio

Bastia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Ajaccio
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Ajaccio
0-0
Bastia
Everson (1'), Youssouf (20'), Huard (52'), Bamba (67'), Bamba (68'), Ibayi (78')
Puch-Herrantz (88')
Janneh (80')
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Ajaccio
1-2
Bastia
Ibayi (90+5')
Maggiotti (11' pen.), Bianchini (24' pen.)
Feb 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Bastia
1-0
Ajaccio
Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient27174649262355
2Metz27158447212653
3Paris FCParis FC27164742281452
4DunkerqueDunkerque2715394134748
5GuingampGuingamp271431044331145
6Laval27127836251143
7Annecy2711793337-440
8Bastia2781362927237
9Grenoble27107103231137
10PauPau2781093037-734
11Ajaccio27104132533-834
12Troyes27103142827133
13AmiensAmiens27103142841-1333
14Red Star2795132942-1332
15Rodez AFRodez AF2787124644231
16Clermont2768132235-1326
17Martigues2774162043-2325
18Caen2754182340-1719


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