Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
29.08% (![]() | 25.51% (![]() | 45.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% (![]() | 50.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% (![]() | 72.07% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% (![]() | 31.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% (![]() | 67.8% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% (![]() | 22.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% | 55.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |