League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
St Patrick's0 - 1Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
27.66% ( 0.74) | 28.84% ( -0.02) | 43.49% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.39) | 62.91% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.6% ( 0.28) | 82.4% ( -0.28) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.85) | 39.42% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.88% ( 0.78) | 76.11% ( -0.78) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.2) | 28.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.37% ( -0.25) | 64.63% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
St Patrick's Athletic 27.66%
Derry City 43.49%
Draw 28.83%
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 14.13% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 43.49% |
How you voted: St Patrick's vs Derry
St Patrick's Athletic
33.3%Draw
22.2%Derry City
44.4%9
Form Guide
