St Patrick's

4 - 1

Derry

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.