Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.