League One | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Accrington1 - 4Oxford Utd
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 34.05% | 24.55% | 41.4% |
| Both teams to score 58.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.03% | 43.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% | 66.35% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% | 25.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.15% | 59.85% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.75% | 54.24% |
| Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley 34.05%
Oxford United 41.4%
Draw 24.55%
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.05% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.4% |
Form Guide
