League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon1 - 1Sunderland
We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sunderland
This is a huge match for both sides, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Saturday afternoon. We are expecting a cagey contest between two out-of-form teams but believe that Sunderland's additional quality will shine through to secure a hugely important three points at Plough Lane. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sunderland |
| 27.54% | 24.12% | 48.33% |
| Both teams to score 56.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
