Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
