League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Embleton (40')
Flanagan (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romeo (72'), Williams (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Portsmouth

In a clash that could define who secures promotion and who misses out come the end of the season, both sides will be hopeful of three points. Sunderland boast home advantage, along with the superior league position, making the Black Cats the most likely winners for this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Portsmouth
52.43%	24.2%	23.37%

Both teams to score 52.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11%

48.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02%

70.98%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39%

18.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09%

49.9%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59%

35.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83%

72.17%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 52.42%

Portsmouth 23.37%

Draw 24.2%

Sunderland	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.42%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.37%