Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.