Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.