Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.