Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
