League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Peterborough4 - 3Crawley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Crawley Town
While Peterborough's defending at home has left a lot to be desired, Crawley Town have developed a streak of resilience on the road of late and have also had more time to recover from their most recent exploits. On paper, a Posh triumph might be expected, but we are struggling to back Ferguson's side with any real confidence and can instead anticipate a tense draw between the two clubs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.86%) and 3-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crawley Town |
54.57% ( 0.04) | 20.88% ( -0) | 24.54% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
