Northampton4 - 1Shrewsbury
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
for
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
We said: Northampton Town 1-0 Shrewsbury Town
With Shrewsbury already resigned to life in League Two next season, Northampton will sense an opportunity to make home advantage count in their push to secure safety and are backed to edge this with a narrow win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
45.21% ( 0.48) | 26.99% ( -0.2) | 27.81% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.47% ( 0.61) | 56.53% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.48% ( 0.49) | 77.52% ( -0.49) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( 0.52) | 24.92% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.45% ( 0.71) | 59.55% ( -0.71) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.11) | 35.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.11) | 72.57% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 27.81% |
