We said: Shrewsbury Town 2-1 Northampton Town
Shrewsbury might have kept their first League One clean sheet since August on Boxing Day, but that was anomalous considering the pattern of failing to keep opponents at arm's length.
Although normal service should resume in their final match of 2024, the Shrews are backed to record a marginal victory at Northampton's expense.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.