League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 17, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Crewe

Henry (33' pen.)
Rodriguez (51'), Henry (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Offord (79'), Lundstram (82'), Griffiths (90+5')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
55.71%	23.79%	20.5%

Both teams to score 50.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67%

50.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73%

72.27%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09%

17.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.28%

48.72%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98%

39.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26%

75.74%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 55.7%

Crewe Alexandra 20.5%

Draw 23.79%

Oxford United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.43% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.79%	0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.5%