Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
